What is the likelihood of having sickle cell disease?

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    Last Updated: October 13, 2024

    If both parents carry the sickle cell trait (SCT), then their child has a 25% chance of being born with sickle cell disease (SCD) and a 50% chance of having SCT.[1]

    Sickle cell disease is a disease with global spread, although people of different ancestry are unequally affected. The incidence of SCD is higher among people of African, South American, Central American, Indian, Mediterranean, and Arabian Peninsular ancestry.[2]

    Research has indicated that these regions, historically impacted by malaria or experiencing significant migration from malaria-endemic countries, often exhibit a higher prevalence of SCT in the population. It seems that SCT offers a protective effect against malaria, and the body developed this genetic mutation as a defense mechanism against the disease. Individuals with SCT can still contract malaria, but they have an increased likelihood of survival. In contrast, individuals with sickle cell disease experience more severe effects from the disease.[3][4]