At least in regards to literature on policosanol, there appears to be a schism of sorts when it comes to studies conducted in Cuba on the efficacy of Policosanol compounds. Studies that are conducted in Cuba are listed here, and those that show benefit[33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48] significantly outweigh those that show negative or null effects, of which none can be found.
Going on the assumption that the above studies are valid, the range of improvement in blood lipids tends to be quite reliably in the range of 20+/-5% reductions in LDL cholesterol, 10+/-5% reductions in total cholesterol, and 15+/-10% increases in HDL cholesterol (numbers approximations). Studies range from 6-12 weeks[38][41] to 12[33] to 24 months[37] and tend to have similar overall reductions. Doses used tend to be 5-20mg taken in two divided doses daily, and studies investigating varying dosages usually find no significant differences between lower and higher doses.[34]
The only study originating from Cuba painting Policosanols in a bad light is a comparative study that was testing out a product called D-003, which is a purified form of Policosanols.[49] However, if these studies are true then 5-20mg of Policosanol daily is about as effective as statin therapy in reducing cholesterol levels
For studies conducted outside of cuba, ones that show benefit are conducted in Chile,[50] and Mexico,[51] with a study from Croatia showing mixed benefits[52]; studies from Italy,[53][54], the Netherlands,[55] Germany,[56] South Africa,[57] Canada,[58][17] and the USA[59][60][61][62] note no effects on circulating cholesterol or triglyceride levels, and some studies do make note that they use 'authentic' Cuban Cane Sugars.[58][54] When assessing non-Cuban studies for possible conflicts of interest, none are reported and only 3 studies report external funding; all from companies not directly involved with statin or pharmaceutical distribution.[56][61][57]
These possible publication bias shows in studies on LDL oxidation, where a Cuban study reported benefit[63] while a study conducted in Montreal, Canada reported no such effect.[64] It is possible that studies on blood flow are also subject to this, as although there is a multitude of research originating from Cuba showing benefits on platelet aggregation[65][66][67][68][69][70] physical performance secondary to blood flow (intermittent claudation or heart disease)[71][72] and adverse effects reduction related to heart disease.[33] Counter-evidence to this point is minimal, but the only study conducted outside Cuba on blood clotting (Croatia) noted no effects[73] and an Australian study noted no interactions with Warfarin efficacy (a blood thinner).[74]
Not to sound all conspiracy theorist like, but the chances of the above occurring by pure chance are next to nothing and 'true' Policosanols are derived from Cuban Cane Sugar; this discord in the evidence undermines a lot of the beneficial studies on the subject matter, and despite the large body of evidence there really is not much quality evidence if we assume the Cuban studies are undermined
A 100% success rate is seen with studies conducted in Cuba while the success rate for every other location combined is 2 out of 14 (14.2%). The possibility that Policosanol is ineffective in treating cholesterol levels but suffers from a large degree of publication bias cannot be ruled out
When looking at studies that are both conducted within Cuba and those that find benefit, some are seen using the step I NCEP (National Cholesterol Education Program) diet found here.[75] and these studies include the following.[76][34][33][40] Other studies specified a lipid-lowering diet,[43][35][42] while some a cholesterol-lowering diet.[45][38][44] and some unspecified but present.[36][47][46] Several studies using diets do include a 2-6 week 'run-in' period where diet is adapted to and made routine before the intervention is conducted.
Two studies have been conducted in Cuba on persons who do not appear to respond to dietary interventions,[37][41] neither study specified whether dietary control was continued, but both studies found non-responsiveness to the NCEP dietary intervention as well as improvements with policosanol. The one study noted that did not have dietary interventions was a retrospective cohort study of the elderly population and policosanol.[48]
When looking at studies conducted outside of Cuba that found positive effects of policosanol, all three studies used a modified diet but not the specified NCEP diet.[50][51][52]
When looking at the studies that found no effects of policosanol on blood lipids (all conducted outside of Cuba), one used controlled cholesterol lowering diets such as 55/15/20 carbohydrate/protein/fat with under 300mg cholesterol[57] and another used the NCEP diet;[56] most of the others used no controlled dietary intervention (just measuring intake post-intervention to see if any significant differences existed).[17][62][61][55][58] Beyond that, one study measured food intake via questionnaire to see if any changes that could have influenced results existed,[59] and another controlled for calories but permitted standard lifestyle food intake.[53] One study specifically investigated persons who, using an NCEP intervention prior to the study, failed to have any reduction of cholesterol by the diet; they were instructed to continue with their current lifestyle diets but were controlled for calories.[54]
Of those, two studies used the dietary 'lead-in' period of accustomizing persons to a lifestyle change diet before introducing policosanol intervention. A study from Croatia[8] can back with a reduction of total cholesterol (down to 94% of baseline) and no significant influence on LDL-C or HDL-C between groups and a study from Germany[56] found no significant effects and no patients reporting more than a 10% drop in LDL-C regardless of statistical significance.
The notion that policosanol's efficacy is reliant on a controlled diet is a plausible counter-hypothesis that has not yet been ruled out, and may play some importance given the 2011 in vitro study suggesting fatty acid metabolism is mandatory for fatty acid alcohols to become effective. This is the only significant difference between Cuban studies and non-Cuban studies that persists, and the differences can be explained currently by either location or dietary intervention